Volatility of Atlanta Braves Hitters
I did a post a while back where I used an extremely rough and inaccurate method to judge the consistency of Braves hitters. Well, I am finally back with another consistency piece and this one should prove to be a bit more accurate. Volatility is essentially how consistent a hitter is. The lower the volatility score you receive the more your numbers on a nightly basis reflect your season numbers.
If you want an extremely detailed explanation and analysis of volatility—as well as a volatility calculator—check out Bill Petti’s series on Beyond the Box Score.
Let’s get right into though, and compare the results.
- Brian McCann– .919
- Freddie Freeman– .934
- Dan Uggla– 1.099
- Chipper Jones– .935
- Martin Prado– 1.076
- Michael Bourn– .849
- Jason Heyward– 1.069
In order from least volatile (more consistent) to most volatile (least consistent) we have this list:
- Michael Bourn
- Brian McCann
- Freddie Freeman
- Chipper Jones
- Jason Heyward
- Martin Prado
- Dan Uggla
Let’s compare that with the results from last time.
- Michael Bourn
- Martin Prado
- Chipper Jones
- Freddie Freeman
- Jason Heyward
- Dan Uggla
- Brian McCann
So there are some obvious differences. At least I got the top person right however. Volatility is still new, and it probably isn’t as accurate as it could be at this point but it is a better system than what I used last time. Check out the calculator I linked above if you want to mess around with your favorite players.
Obviously you would want a more consistent hitter but over a period of 162 games every one is going to go through their cold streaks and hot streaks—unless you’re Adam Dunn.